Frequently Asked Questions
Table of Contents
What is the turn-around time for an enrollment projection report?
An enrollment projection study is available from 4 to 6 weeks after receiving
historical enrollment data from the school district and information regarding
new residential developments from local construction departments and planning boards.
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How many years of historical enrollment data is needed to complete a demographic study?
This depends on the method chosen by the client. Statistical Forecasting LLC performs enrollment projections using both the Cohort-Survival Ratio (CSR)
method and the Modified
Regression Technique (MRT). If CSR is selected, only the past 5 or 6 years
of historical enrollment data is needed. For MRT, the number of years of
historical enrollment used in the study should be a minimum of 10 years but
optimally is 15 years. Because MRT utilizes a sophisticated multiple regression
model, more historical data is needed to achieve greater accuracy in projecting
enrollments.
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Are on-site presentations available?
Presentations are available to school boards or planning committees at an
additional cost. The cost of travel, travel time, meals, and lodging incurred by
Statistical Forecasting LLC is the responsibility of the school district.
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What is included in the demographic study?
The quality of a Statistical Forecasting LLC demographic study is unsurpassed.
When we ask our clients for feedback on our studies, their number one response was
that it was "extremely thorough and comprehensive". Our client satisfaction rating is unparalleled. If you want
further proof, just ask our clients.
Regardless of the method chosen, two sets of enrollment projections are
generated. For a study performed using Cohort-Survival Ratios, the number of
years used to calculate the average survival ratio is adjusted. For a study using
the Modified Regression Technique, the migration ratio or the number of years in
the regression equations are varied to reflect the prevailing growth patterns in
the district.
Other information included in the report is an analysis of birth rates, birth-to-kindergarten ratios, historical
population counts and projected growth in the community, the
residential developments being built in the community, and the anticipated
number of children from these developments. Based upon the available information
at the time the study is performed, a recommendation may be made for the set of
enrollment projections that best typifies the demographic trends in the
district.
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